The Russians are fighting their last War

 

Russia's recent actions in Ukraine have caused many to speculate that the country is fighting its last war. This prediction is based on demographics and the ability to manufacture new war material. If Russia were to defeat Ukraine, it might extend its existence by another 50 years. However, if it fails, it may only have another 20 years before it reaches a financial and demographic deadline.

From a demographic standpoint, Russia faces several challenges. Its population is shrinking, and it has one of the lowest birth rates in the world. According to the United Nations, Russia's population is expected to decline from 144 million in 2020 to 128 million in 2050. This is partly due to low birth and high mortality rates. Additionally, Russia's large aging population strains the country's resources and healthcare system.

These demographic challenges have a significant impact on Russia's military. With fewer young people entering the workforce, Russia may need help to recruit and retain soldiers. Additionally, a shrinking population means fewer people are available to work in manufacturing and other industries that support the military.

The second factor that could contribute to Russia's last war is its ability to manufacture new war material. Russia has a long history of producing high-quality military equipment, but the country's manufacturing capabilities have been in decline since the collapse of the Soviet Union. Russia's defence industry is struggling to keep up with modern military technologies, which could put the country at a disadvantage in any future conflict.

Moreover, economic sanctions imposed by the West have exacerbated the challenges faced by Russia's defence industry. These sanctions have limited Russia's access to the global economy, making acquiring advanced technologies and materials needed for military production challenging.

In summary, if Russia were to defeat Ukraine, it may extend its existence by another 50 years. Still, if it fails, it may only have another 20 years before it reaches a financial and demographic deadline. Russia's shrinking population and declining manufacturing capabilities are significant challenges that could impact its ability to defend itself. It remains to be seen how Russia will address these challenges, but they will undoubtedly play a crucial role in determining the country's fate.